to 3 inches of rain, that's expected across portions of eastern arkansas, western tennessee, western mississippi and right down into louisiana as well. this is an area of low pressure which is also bringing that rain back into northern texas. it's all rain right now. we're done with the snow as warmer air tries to work into this system. this heavy rain is coming in the form of very strong thunderstorms. we have a lot of cloud to ground lightning. an area where we could see some isolated tornadoes as well. it will start to push eastward. but it's a slow process. over the next 48 hours, this area in lower and orange here, from arkansas down to louisiana, could end up to 3 to 4 inches of rain. out ahead of this system, it looks temperatures will be 15 to 20 degrees above normal. that includes new york city as well. mara? >> thanks so much, dylan. >>> an asteroid fly-by. >>> plus, what should have been a fun adventure ends tragically for two men inside this giant, inflatable ball. you're watching first look on msnbc. my insurance rates are probably gonna double. but, dad, you've got... [ voice of de